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Is there a future for democracy in the Arab world?
Published in Albawaba on 16 - 11 - 2015

"Al hayat" newspaper has published an article by "Al Sayed Yassen" entitled "Is there a future for democracy in the Arab world?", in which he wrote that, sometimes the writer hurls himself in the midst of difficult problems, which are not easy to address or even solve their complexity! That applies to this subject that require further study of various aspects, and perhaps the paramount importance of addressing that particular subject prompts an intellectual adventure!
Perhaps the first problem that should be addressed is: Is the talk about the Arab world today is similar to the talk about it before the Arab Spring?
The answer is absolutely not. The Arab world today is divided mainly because of the collapse of several major countries, which are Libya, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen.
However, these enormous falls that led to the defection of these countries to the pre-state phase have different and major causes according to the unique political history of each state on one hand, and according to the conditions experienced by these countries after raging enormous revolutionary wave that swept many of totalitarian and authoritarian regimes in the Arab world On the other hand.
The enormous falls, such as Libya, is considered to be the best model to represent these falls. The revolution in Libya has taken a dramatic path, which is quite different from the path taken by Tunisian and Egyptian revolutions. That's because the contagious revolution that hit Libya, and pushed the political factions to revolt on the Libyan totalitarian regime has been unable to uproot the deep-rooted foundation of that regime, as Colonel Gaddafi destroyed all state institutions, crushed all social organizations, and eliminated the political elites or pushed them to leave the country. Therefore these rebellious forces resorted to the use of foreign forces, and in the forefront the "NATO" forces in order to help them achieve victory over the armed militia loyal to Gaddafi. Hence it can be said without exaggeration that it was very difficult to topple the Libyan regime without military support from the "NATO", in which France played a very pivotal role. And the book issued by the Zionist Frenchman writer Bernard-Henri Levy entitled "Libyan War Diary" which illustrates in detail the main role played by France, in which President Sarkozy personally had a big part in, and this book needs careful analysis of its contents by Arab researchers because it's a model "case study" on the danger of the Western foreign interference in the internal affairs of Arab countries.
However, there shouldn't be a negligence of the active role Qatar played in intervening in Libya.
If Libya is a failed state, it now became a prey to armed militias' terrorism, that have varied ideological identities, and their behavior has led to a civil war in every sense of the word, and there is another failed state, which is Iraq.
However, the reason for the collapse of the state in Iraq goes back to the beginning of the grave errors committed by Saddam Hussein while running the state, which began with the war waged on Iran and lasted eight years, that witnessed hundreds of thousands of victims, and squandered Iraq's resources, and ended with the foolish decision of invading Kuwait, which pushed the United States of America to form an international coalition to defeat Saddam and force him out of Kuwait. This was followed by the siege of Iraq, which lasted years, and ended with the US military criminal invasion of Iraq, and the overthrow of the regime and the trial of Saddam Hussein, who was sentenced to death by hanging. And the collapse of Iraq began immediately after the American withdrawal from the Iraqi land, and with Shiite taking over the rule, which led to the complete marginalization and exclusion of the Sunni from political life.
The third collapsed state is Syria, which faced the Arab Spring revolution in a way much closer to an extermination war of a particular team within the Syrian people, which witnessed the use of aircraft and heavy artillery, which in turn pushed millions of Syrians to flee from their country and resort to other Arab countries.
During this barbaric war, "ISIS" organization which proved that it is one of the most dangerous terrorist organization was able to occupy huge areas in Syria and also impose control in a huge areas and several provinces in Iraq but conquered Mosul and controlled the export of oil and became the richest terrorist organization in the world as mentioned in the news and it led to collapse state in Iraq and its future has become in the wind.
Then, Yemen strange events came, which represented by the invasion of Houthis in the capital Sanaa, the Houthis, and the fall of the state in the hands of armed militias.
So, we became in Arabic world which formatted from liberated country and turned to residue country and another countries is stilling strong but they are threatened by the very real threat of terrorist waves. At the forefront of Egypt and the Gulf states which identified the seriousness of terrorism to its national security and the need to take decisive steps for effective cooperation to repel these terrorist waves thundering.
What is left of the country in which caught the revolutions of the Arab Spring?
We have Tunisia which lead the revolutionary wave because the Arab spring started in Tunisia and continued in Egypt, Libya and Syria
Tunisia characterizes the fact, if we use the language of research methods "Negative case", meaning they Exceptions from the political phenomena that prevailed in many of the countries of the Arab Spring. There is no state collapsed in, nor controlled by religious like «Muslim Brotherhood» in Egypt group that transformed successful democratic dictatorship blatant, prompting the Egyptian masses to do on 30 June, a popular coup supported by the armed forces on 3 July, and announced its leader, General Abdel Fattah al-Sisi first team and the development of a new constitution, a new road map was the abrogation of the Constitution «Brotherhood» solving the Shura Council, and the organization of presidential elections won by Sisi high rate, and stayed to organize parliamentary elections.
Tunisia lonely were able to cross the hard Transitional Phase with atractive successful and from authoritarianism to democracy too.
After the constitution, the parliamentary elections was organized and «Nedaa Tunis» Party won the majority came first, followed by «renaissance» Islamic Party which came second in the standings. And draws attention to the Sheikh Rashid Ghannouchi, leader of the «Renaissance» party said: «The party will not pay him a candidate in the presidential elections». This means that Tunisia is the only one that can give us hope for the establishment of a genuine democratic system involving an Islamic democratic parties.
However, this last statement need to critically analyze, Is there really contradiction between Islam and democracy?
The question in this way actually needs to be corrected duty! Islam is a heavenly religion which should not involve him in a political debate but it is better to ask: Is there a contradiction between Islamic thought and democracy?
When we focus on the word «thought» Does it mean that human action and the exercise carried out by groups of people who are relying to some Islamic rules. These people may exist, including «elders» specialize in debt by virtue of their education in religious institutes, maybe among them intellectuals educated in ordinary non-religious universities, but they thought about the issue in an Islamic reference.
For each team, the mechanism of «interpretation» is the primary mechanism used by the interpretation of the quraan or hadith, this problem deserves to be discussed in detail later.


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