Suez Canal signs $2bn first-phase deal to build petrochemical complex in Ain Sokhna    ICJ holds Israel responsible for worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza    Omar Hisham announces launch of Egyptian junior and ladies' golf with 100 players from 15 nations    Egypt, Sudan discuss boosting health cooperation, supporting Sudan's medical system    Cairo Metro's Line 4 project with Japan gets cabinet green light    Defying US tariffs, China's industrial heartland shows resilience    Pakistan, Afghanistan ceasefire holds as focus shifts to Istanbul talks    Beit Logistics invests EGP 500m to develop Safaga Integrated Logistics Center    Egypt's Social Housing Fund, United Bank sign deal to expand mortgage finance cooperation    Survivors of Nothingness – Part Three: Politics ... Chaos as a Tool of Governance    EU's Kallas says ready to deepen partnership with Egypt ahead of first summit    Egypt's Sisi hails Japan's first female PM, vows to strengthen Cairo-Tokyo ties    Egypt's exports to EU surge 7.4% to $8.7b in 8 months — CAPMAS    Egypt makes news oil, gas discoveries in Nile Delta    Egypt, France agree to boost humanitarian aid, rebuild Gaza's health sector    Egyptian junior and ladies' golf open to be held in New Giza, offers EGP 1m in prizes    The Survivors of Nothingness — Part Two    Egypt's PM reviews efforts to remove Nile River encroachments    Health Minister reviews readiness of Minya for rollout of universal health insurance    Egypt screens 13.3m under presidential cancer detection initiative since mid-2023    Egypt launches official website for Grand Egyptian Museum ahead of November opening    The Survivors of Nothingness — Episode (I)    Al-Sisi: Cairo to host Gaza reconstruction conference in November    Egypt successfully hosts Egyptian Amateur Open golf championship with 19-nation turnout    Egypt, WHO sign 2024-2028 country cooperation strategy    Egypt: Guardian of Heritage, Waiting for the World's Conscience    Egypt will never relinquish historical Nile water rights, PM says    Al Ismaelia launches award-winning 'TamaraHaus' in Downtown Cairo revival    Al-Sisi, Burhan discuss efforts to end Sudan war, address Nile Dam dispute in Cairo talks    Egypt's Sisi warns against unilateral Nile actions, calls for global water cooperation    Egypt unearths New Kingdom military fortress on Horus's Way in Sinai    Syria releases preliminary results of first post-Assad parliament vote    Karnak's hidden origins: Study reveals Egypt's great temple rose from ancient Nile island    Egypt resolves dispute between top African sports bodies ahead of 2027 African Games    Germany among EU's priciest labour markets – official data    Paris Olympic gold '24 medals hit record value    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







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Is borrowing a way out?
Egypt's government lacks broad strategic thinking and vision on the economy
Published in Ahram Online on 22 - 02 - 2013

In its present state, the government is living through a condition that can be defined as “a state of uncertainty.”
This state does not authorise it to cut any long-term deals, on top of which comes borrowing.
I dare say that such cases had better be kept under the control of an elected government that is monitored by an elected house of representatives.
What is even more dangerous is that proper management requires having an overall vision before attempting partial actions.
But until now, we have not seen from the government of Prime Minister Qandil any integrated or specific economic vision that borrowing (being a partial policy) forms an intrinsic part of, whether we get this loan from Europe or Saudi Arabia.
In addition, we are borrowing from an international political entity the size of the IMF. Even if we set aside all the ongoing talks about how the IMF adjusted its policies after the 2008-financial crisis, the unchangeable rule will always be that a loan is a burden on any country, whether that burden is in the form of a financial obligation, restriction of political decisions or anything more ominous.
In addition, our present situation does not give us the leisure to bank on the goodwill of others.
I have repeatedly suggested that the government should launch a collective workshop for all Egyptian economic experts (inside and outside the country) from all the schools of economics (Islamic, capitalist or leftist) to help us collect different views and come up with creative solutions that can get us out of the limited box of clichéd and classic solutions used for solving liquidity and financial problems.
We need to survey all our options before we can acknowledge “borrowing” as our only way out.
I distinctly remember how Mahathir Mohamed, former prime minister of Malaysia, formed a national council that included the biggest investors and economists from various affiliations during the time of the excruciating economic crisis that almost ravaged his country.
He convened the council for two whole years and conducted daily sessions for hours until he was able to get Malaysia out of its slump.
A decision that can impact the future of a country politically and economically can never be the task of a single entity, no matter how ingenious that entity is.
It is true that approving a loan by the IMF will have a positive impact on raising the credit rating of Egypt, which will consequently translate into growing global confidence in its economy and hence attract more investments, but whoever said that this was the only way to do it?
This is yet another stereotypical way of thinking that can be easily broken out of, if Egypt adopts a distinguished diplomatic role in the coming days, through which it can venture down new paths and build new strategic foreign relations.
I am still interested in focusing on the broad strokes, but it is always okay to bring up some options that are worthy of considering and studying.
One of these options is to open the door for funding infrastructure projects using the build–operate–transfer(BOT) system, on condition of having sustainable development which will ensure the preservation of the country's assets and its people's rights.
Another option is to allow Egyptians living abroad to inject more foreign currency liquidity into the country.
http://english.ahram.org.eg/News/65301.aspx


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