Soccer club president latest tie to French corruption probe    Trump urges greater Japanese investment in US, knocks trade advantage    Egypt condemns parcel bomb attack in France's Lyon    The ‘Deal of the Century' is not the end    Solar energy and the future    Messi finishes Europe's top scorer for third straight year    All credit to Egyptian women    Esperance hold 10-man Wydad to 1-1 draw in African Champions League final    In search of historical women    Suez Canal Authority head hails role of simulation centre in training his staff    Egypt govt increases aid to Federation of Arab Journalists to EGP 2 mln per year    Why the dollar went south    Kenya's high court unanimously upholds ban on gay sex    France clears path to extradite Argentine torture suspect    72nd Cannes Film Festival: It's all about fresh talents    SODIC to pay EGP 1.2bn of outstanding land dues in 2019    Fanzir plans to launch 3 projects, open HQ in Egypt: Aljishi    Tazkarty, online booking for AFCON tickets launched    Egypt saves $350m by improving energy efficiency: Petroleum Ministry    US warns Al-Assad following suspected chemical attack    Huawei sales will not be affected by Google's suspension of business: MTI    Four women challenge male-dominated food market in Ramadan    Lack of proper waste management in Egypt causes accumulation of marine plastic litter    Aiisha Ramadan & SADAFA Collaborate for SS'19 Arab Fashion Week    Shoukry, Sadadi convene in Cairo over regional updates    Banking draft law will not impose term limits on state-owned banks' board members: source    12 alleged militants killed in two separate raids in Al-Arish    Repatriation: Why Western museums should return African artefacts    Omani author Jokha Alharthi wins prestigious Booker International Prize    Al-Karma to publish Tawfik's last short story collection in June    Breaking the record    Amending judicial regulations    Pre-emptive strikes    Mubarak speaks    Newsreel    Connected for exams    Egypt name national team's initial squad for AFCON 2019    General Prosecutor orders release of five prominent detainees    Mascot revealed, tickets on sale    Only one path to glory    Messages to Tehran    Don't miss Al-Leila Al-Kebira puppet theatre operetta at Al-Hanager Arts Centre    In search of historical women    Twelve alleged militants killed in shootout with police    Malawians vote in tough presidential election    Angry at being dubbed a hustler, Maradona dismisses new film    President Sisi receives citizens for Iftar at his private residence    The alternative economy in Ramadan    

Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.

Can we blame this crazy weather on El Niño?
Floods in South America and England, spring temperatures in Europe, tornadoes in the US - of all these weather phenomena, only the ones in the southern hemisphere can be linked to El Niño.
Published in Daily News Egypt on 30 - 12 - 2015

Floods in South America and England, spring temperatures in Europe, tornadoes in the US – of all these weather phenomena, only the ones in the southern hemisphere can be linked to El Niño.
Parts of England are flooded after torrential rainfall, and also in southern America more than 150.000 people had to leave their homes after floods. In the US, a tornado claims 43 lives, and in Ethiopia people are starving as a result of a draught.
At the same time, we are expecting unusually mild temperatures at the North Pole – just above the freezing point. This is about 40 degrees warmer than usual at this time of year and – at least during the day – almost as warm as southern California in the middle of the night. There, temperatures dropped to as low as 4 degrees Celsius (the low 50s Fahrenheit) just recently.
Looks like the weather has gone nuts? Be that as it may, when looking for a scapegoat, the usual suspect El Niño may be the wrong choice.
What is El Niño?
El Niño, Spanish for "the boy," is a name that Peruvian fishermen gave a weather phenomenon that returns every couple years. The name is a reference to the birth of Jesus, because El Niño always comes around Christmas time and lasts for about one year.
The last time it came was in the winter of 2009/2010. In such an El Niño year, the general weather pattern changes. Cold and warm currents in the Pacific – especially along the South American Coast – can change, disappear or reverse themselves. The consequences can be felt in other parts of the globe.
El Niño can trigger natural disasters, such as heavy rainfall in some areas and droughts in others. Jerome Lecou, climate expert of the French weather service Meteo France estimates that this year could be the strongest El Niño for about the last hundred years.
El Niño is to blame for conditions in South America, Indonesia and Australia
Experts agree: The floods in Argentina and Paraguay can clearly be linked to El Niño. "We see a definite connection between the current floods in South America and El Niño," Andreas Friedrich from the German Weather Service DWD told Deutsche Welle. "We know that during El Niño periods the rainfall is much heavier than normal," he adds.
And also forest fires, smog and drought in Indonesia and Australia can be safely blamed on the "little child." And it also plays a role in the current drought in Ethiopia: When rain falls in one place, it is lacking in another, the meteorologist explains. And El Niño is contributing to yet another effect: 2015 will be registered as the warmest year since the beginning of climate records. But that's about it when it comes to the blame that can be directly attributed to El Niño, Friedrich says.
Not guilty for the weather in the U.S. Europe and at the North Pole
What about the other parts of the world? Often, the extreme weather in the southern US is being mentioned in one breath with El Niño. But that is not justified, meteorologist Friedrich says: "The tornadoes in the US, the floods in England and the mild temperatures in parts of Central Europe have no substantial link to El Niño. Those are aberrations from the large scale weather pattern in the northern hemisphere. And those lead to such individual extreme weather events."
The reason for that is a change in the route of the jet stream – corridors of strong winds that travel around the globe roughly at the cruising altitude of long distance airplanes – 10.000 meters or 30.000 feet.
"Those jet streams have lots of bumps," Friedrich puts it figuratively. As a consequence, warmer air from the Canaries is travelling all the way north to the Arctic Ocean, where they rarely occur. This led to a situation in which areas of low pressure repeatedly hit the same region in western England and released huge amounts of water there.
"This is part of the chaotic system of the atmosphere. We don't know why such large scale weather patterns keep repeating themselves. We have no explanation, but that does not mean we can blame it on El Niño," Friedrich says.
And his French colleague and member of the International Panel on Climate Chance (IPCC) Jean Jouzel would not blame climate change alone for the weather events, either. Those could still be a part of naturally occurring cycles.
Andreas Friedrich adds: "It is very simple to put everything together in one big pot. But what we experience here in Germany and to the north of us has nothing to do with El Niño. And it is not a climate catastrophe either, but an abnormality in large scale weather. Those are always chaotic and cannot be predicted. Otherwise, we would already know in the summer how the weather would be for Christmas."

Clic here to read the story from its source.