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Japan is changing, but few seem to be noticing
Richard N Haass
Published in
Daily News Egypt
on 24 - 04 - 2007
Mention Asia, and most people think of the region's fascinating, rising giants,
China
or
India
- or both. Or people think about North Korea's nuclear program, some terrorist incident, or the humanitarian consequences of the latest earthquake or tsunami. But often overlooked - or at least underestimated - is
Japan
. This is odd, given that
Japan
is still the world's second largest economy, with a GDP of $5 trillion - more than
China
and
India
combined. Despite
Japan
's relatively modest rate of economic growth, its GDP per capita is roughly $38,000, more than 10 times that of either
China
or
India
. Moreover, there are important stirrings in
Japan
that suggest change on both the economic and security fronts. The 1990s may have been a lost decade, but
Japan
's economy has begun to recover, and is now growing at more than 2 percent a year while boasting several firms that are truly global and hugely successful. Changes in foreign and defense policy are more considerable.
Japan
's self-defense agency was upgraded in January to a full ministry.
Japan
now spends more than $40 billion a year on defense and maintains one of the world's most diverse and modern militaries. Approximately 1,000
Japanese
members of the military serve in and around
Iraq
. Intellectuals, journalists, and politicians are now saying and writing things about
Japan
's role in the world that were unthinkable a decade ago. It is a question of when, not if, the
Japanese
amend Article IX of their Constitution, which limits the role of
Japan
's armed forces to self-defense. Not everyone will welcome these changes.
Japan
's neighbors, who continue to harbor concerns stemming from World War II and
Japan
's failure to deal adequately with its history, will worry about
Japanese
nationalism. Nevertheless, a more active and more capable
Japan
, with a robust democracy and a thriving economy, is in its neighbors' best interests. The danger is not renewed
Japanese
militarism, but rather a
Japan
that is unable and unwilling to do its share to meet the regional and global challenges facing Asia.
Japan
, for its part, needs to continue to open and reform its economy, improve its military, and make its forces available for the sort of low-intensity but manpower-intensive missions, ranging from genocide prevention to nation-building to peacekeeping, that are increasingly required in the greater Middle East and Africa.
Japanese
leaders also need to act with sensitivity. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is off to an uneven start. On the one hand, he is wise not to have visited the Yasukuni shrine, which honors millions of
Japan
's war dead, including 14 Class A war criminals. On the other hand, Abe's public statements denying
Japan
's coercion of "comfort women in
China
and Korea have been clumsy at best, and insensitive at worst. It is essential that
Japan
and
China
forge a modern relationship. The increasing frequency of high-level visits - Abe went to
China
in October, and Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao was just in
Japan
- is a welcome development. But more is needed. Trade and investment flows can and should be expanded, which is likely only if political relations improve. Both countries should commit themselves to a diplomatic resolution of competing claims to offshore resources. Exchanges of every kind - military, educational, tourism - should be facilitated. The world also needs to take into account
Japan
's importance.
Japan
should no longer be denied fair treatment because of events more than 60 years ago. There is no reason
Japan
should not hold a permanent seat in the United Nations Security Council.
Japan
should also be a full participant in Asian regional arrangements. Asia is rich in dynamism, but relatively thin in influential political, economic, and security-related institutions, in contrast to Europe, which often lacks dynamism but is institution-heavy. The Franco-German relationship, central to much 20th-century conflict, now forms the core of modern Europe. The goal should be the same for
China
and
Japan
. The agenda is virtually limitless, including trade and investment, energy and climate change, and confidence-building in the security sphere. A new regional institution could be based on an existing one (such as the six-party arrangement used to manage North Korea's nuclear challenge) or start afresh. Moreover, just as the
United States
continues to play a major role in Europe, so, too, should it act as a guarantor of Asia's stability and a source of regional prosperity. The US-
Japan
alliance is central to America's position in Asia. The goal is not to enlist
Japan
in any anti-Chinese coalition, but rather to increase the depth and breadth of US-
Japanese
cooperation. Both countries have many reasons to pursue this goal, considering North Korea's missile and nuclear programs, terrorism, and the numerous challenges to stability around the world. Abe's visit to
Washington
in late April is an opportunity to continue to modernize a relationship conceived in an earlier geopolitical era. It is to be hoped that it will not be overshadowed by calls in Congress for
Japan
to apologize more formally than it already has for the comfort women. Rather, the focus should be on the future and on welcoming the emergence of a
Japan
that is increasingly able and willing to act as a partner of the US in addressing regional and global challenges. Richard N. Haassis president of the Council on Foreign Relations and author of "The Opportunity: America's Moment to Alter History's Course. THE DAILY STAR publishes this commentary in collaboration with Project Syndicate © (www.project-syndicate.org).
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