What is going on, in Iran, might be a domestic concern related to the elections disputes. However, what many people haven't got yet is that most of the confusion, happening currently in Tehran, is just the consequences of G.W Bush's policies. Bush spoke about what is so called the creative chaos in the Middle East, which has been described by a lot of observers and analysts, at that time, as an idiotic policy. This estimation might be true, but what can't be ignored are the consequences of the great powers' policies; these policies are like earthquake, some countries might not get directly impacted in the first hit, but they definitely get harmed by the rebounds of it. Despite of Obama's optimism, I think that the middle east still have a big share of suffering ahead of it, in other words, the subsequent rebounds of Bush's earthquake, namely the war on Iraq, and the punch of subsequent policies that aim at some regimes' changing in the region, will definitely beget a lot of conflicts in the middle east. This is clearly shown in the case of Iran. No matter how different Obama and his new administration are from the Bush's, it is too late for them to stop the already-gone train. The consequences of Bush's policies don't stop by just Bush's leaving the white house. In this case, Obama might be able to slow down the speed of the train, but the train of creative chaos has already left the station whereas its smog will be seen in Iran, Pakistan, and may be in some other countries in the region. What Obama positively did, is that he has succeeded in removing the idea of America as a devil, messing with the destiny of the country, from the heads of the Iranian leaders. Had bush been still in office, the Iranian officials wouldn't have looked for a minor devil represented in Britain, or a dwarf as they call him, represented in the French president Sarkuzi. It is necessary for dictator regimes to find an alien enemy to be the reason for their failure. Obama, however, hasn't given the Iranian regime the chance to make him that reason; consequently, the regime has found its enemy in Britain and the destructive role played by the BBC, especially in the newly established Persian department. But Obama is currently remotely- watching the outcomes of Bush's policies in Iran, being sure that the situation will be exacerbating until the climax. The second Iranian generation has reinforced its revolution via micro media, represented in the mobile. It seems that the generation of picture will defeat the generation of word, and the generation of mobile might defeat the generation of cassette which brought forth the Khomeini revolution. This idea was explained last week in my article published in the Londoner Middle East newspaper last week. The gist of this article is that we, sometimes, misestimate the policies of the great powers when we judge them on the short run basis and don't look at their consequences on the long run. The creative chaos initiated by GW Bush the junior is not just a fantasy, and even though Obama will do his best to evade the former president's policies, especially those related to Iran, he will not be able to stop Bush's subsequent rebounds in the region. The indications of the creative chaos have begun to show in Tehran, so where to is the fire moving? This is hard to speculate. However, looking at what is going on in Yemen, Lebanon and Pakistan, we can say that regimes, which have almost lost a lot of their legitimacy, are vulnerable to the same earthquake that happened to Tehran. It seems that the problem in Tehran has gone beyond control; neither the Religious Leader nor even the opposition leaders can, now, control the chaos in the streets of Tehran. In such protesting cases, fresh new leaders come up, and as such, the Iranian regime would suffer from the same legitimacy which it gave to the opposition in Lebanon, Palestine and may be even Iraq. In these countries, the Iranian regime succeeded to divide the society to a revolutionary opposition versus traitor government and then created the idea of the paralleled state within each of these countries. Today, the Iranian community is being divided into dictator regime versus revolutionary opposition. In the past, we used to say that Iran influences Lebanon, but today Iran is influenced by Lebanon as there is a lot of protesting and striking in the streets of Tehran, some of it supporting Nijad and the religious leader, whereas the other supporting Musawi and the opposition. This is similar to the strikes of Hezbollah and the 14th of May party in the arenas of Lebanon. So, we are about to witness a state of paralleled state in Iran, and this might also happen in many of the countries targeted with the creative chaos policy. In the official Iranian fanatic reactions, like the statement of 'Ali Larijani, head of the Iranian parliament, he said that Iran will fight against the west in other fields. This is an indication of the confused Iranian regime as a result of being entrapped by the creative chaos trap. This Iranian confusion is just the beginning of much confusion that will happen in the region. There must be a dangerous price to pay for the chaos as for the security of the whole Middle East region, states and communities. The Iranian case is no longer just a domestic issue; however it has become a regional infection that we, certainly, wish it couldn't spread all over.
