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Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iranian Safavid Conflict
Published in Albawaba on 04 - 01 - 2016

The new conflict triggered by Safavid Iran with Saudi Arabia, over the execution of a number of Saudi citizens, opened the door to a new map of the area, its formation was delayed. This simple truth must be absorbed by the political leadership in Egypt and Saudi Arabia, because any delay in absorbing the simple truth will push us in a maze we cannot afford in the near future.
The conflict in the Middle East began to take a different character, in fact, since Iran has entered the final episode of the "game", initiated by the revolution of Khomeini on Shah of Iran, Reza Pahlavi in 1979, and until the signing of the agreement with the P5+1 nations. This agreement, which opened Iran appetite to enter the region not only as a player but as an American policeman governs and controls in the region as a delegate of the great powers.
Iran knew from the beginning that the region is controlled by four main themes: First, the Saudi Egyptian axis, backed and supported by the Gulf states, which collectively represent the Arab axis. On the other hand, there are three other axes, Turkish, Israeli and finally Iran.
They also learned Iran that it is essential in the new world, led by America, that there will be one player represents one policeman region, and also know that Israel is not qualified for this role by virtue of its composition and its inception, as a foreign body from the area, and that the eyes of Turkey always tend to the West, where the European Union and the dream of accession, that dream that fueled Washington length of time. So Tehran formed a strategy from the very beginning to face the Arab axis, at the core, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, but to postpone the confrontation with Egypt by virtue of geography, and many other considerations. Then the Iranian attempts to neutralize the Egyptian role came amid their waiting for any possible confrontation with Saudi Arabia or the Gulf states.
Iran has tried to prepare the ground for a confrontation with the Arab axis, to put more than one file in the Arab region in its possession completely, starting with the Iraq file and before Lebanon. It tried and still trying to infiltrate in Palestine through a special relationship with Hamas, and finally Yemen through the Houthis.
The nuclear file or the threat of it, is a comparative advantage for Iran in the face of the Arab axis, a feature which suggested its importance for Europeans and the Americans. Hence Iran began to draw a strategy to face Saudi Arabia first, followed by Egypt and of course the entire Arab axis. This strategy needs countries In the Arabic-led by Egypt and Saudi Arabia, the Gulf states to face the Arab and wise management collective.
Why do we say a collective and wise management, because Iran and for more than fourteen years, used all means, legal and illegal, to get to that moment while we Arabs wide-eyed and stood to fight terrorism and sometimes mislead us slogans of hostility between Iran and America at other times.
At first Tehran helped Washington to invade two Muslim countries namely, Afghanistan and Iraq. Not only that, but it began since the start of the US air strike on Afghanistan in October 2001 to receive, through the Revolutionary Guards, hundreds of al-Qaeda leaders on its territory. It has supplied them with safe shelter and provided them with the means full rations to use them later as part of its strategy to control on the region. Iran wanted to cooperate with the United States on the one hand, and also buy the loyalty of the al-Qaeda, the enemy of America. A strategy that Satan is unable himself to do it or understand its composition. According to this policy, Iran began, through the elements of the Taliban and other mercenaries former Soviet Union, to strike NATO and US forces in Afghanistan.
The policy of pushing conflict to its limit, then accept dialogue through intermediaries, are what Tehran has done during more than fourteen years. This is the lifetime of what it calls Washington "the war on terror". Many yards and one strategy: Afghanistan, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen, all of which represented the theater for Iranian strategic operations in the region during the previous stage, but never imagined one to extend Iran's strategy outside those arenas, specifically to Saudi Arabia and Egypt using the same illegal methods which used in both Kabul and Baghdad, Damascus and Beirut and Aden.
Tehran aims through that new strategy, is to distract the two big countries' leadership from all the important files in the Middle East, especially after the breaking wave of the so-called Spring Arab, which America and the West supported to break up the region backed by Zionist.
For Egypt, Iran has sought to push it to open confrontation with Israel by planting the hotbeds of terrorism on its eastern border, and inflaming the conflict between the Palestinians and Israel, which would necessarily lead to a major Israeli war where Egypt will intervene.
For the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Iran played a big game, starting from the news of bombings that have been directed from the heart of Iran, and opened the era of terrorism in Saudi Arabia, and even provide shelter and safe haven for all major al-Qaeda members in exchange for operations inside Saudi Arabia, and the end of the support Houthis and push them to the presence of spam on the southern border , to achieve Iranian targets in the time that you want Iran, which is what happened in the recent period, but extended to include control of the Bab al-Mandab, to stifle Egypt also, Iran in the midst of all this did not forget to pay Bobwagaha deployed in the region to talk about the enmity of Tehran to the Great Satan « America »and defiance of its strategy in the region.
Finally, the Iranian confrontation with Saudi Arabia, the use of Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, Saudi Shiites, and perhaps Shiites Gulf, later, will not benefit Iran, but on the contrary it will increase the depth of the crisis The question remains: what is the Egyptian role, the big sister of the Arabs, in this conflict? That's what we'll talk about tomorrow, God willing.


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