European shares rise as ECB rate decision looms    Egypt's c. bank offers EGP 4b zero coupon t-bonds    Egypt and Tanzania discuss water cooperation    World Bank highlights procedures to improve state-owned enterprise governance in Egypt    Oil fluctuates on Monday on OPEC+ decision    EU sanctions on Russian LNG not to hurt Asian market    Al-Mashat leads Egyptian delegation at inaugural Korea-Africa Summit    Egypt urges Israeli withdrawal from Rafah crossing amid Gaza ceasefire talks    Parliamentary committee clashes with Egyptian Finance Minister over budget disparities    Egypt's Foreign Minister in Spain for talks on Palestinian crisis, bilateral ties    Egypt's PM pushes for 30,000 annual teacher appointments to address nationwide shortage    Sri Lanka offers concessionary loans to struggling SMEs    Indian markets set to gain as polls show landslide Modi win    Russian army advances in Kharkiv, as Western nations permit Ukraine to strike targets in Russia    Egypt includes refugees and immigrants in the health care system    Ancient Egyptians may have attempted early cancer treatment surgery    Grand Egyptian Museum opening: Madbouly reviews final preparations    Madinaty's inaugural Skydiving event boosts sports tourism appeal    Tunisia's President Saied reshuffles cabinet amidst political tension    US Embassy in Cairo brings world-famous Harlem Globetrotters to Egypt    Instagram Celebrates African Women in 'Made by Africa, Loved by the World' 2024 Campaign    US Biogen agrees to acquire HI-Bio for $1.8b    Egypt to build 58 hospitals by '25    Giza Pyramids host Egypt's leg of global 'One Run' half-marathon    Madinaty to host "Fly Over Madinaty" skydiving event    World Bank assesses Cairo's major waste management project    Egyptian consortium nears completion of Tanzania's Julius Nyerere hydropower project    Swiss freeze on Russian assets dwindles to $6.36b in '23    Egyptian public, private sectors off on Apr 25 marking Sinai Liberation    Debt swaps could unlock $100b for climate action    Amal Al Ghad Magazine congratulates President Sisi on new office term    Financial literacy becomes extremely important – EGX official    Euro area annual inflation up to 2.9% – Eurostat    BYD، Brazil's Sigma Lithium JV likely    UNESCO celebrates World Arabic Language Day    Motaz Azaiza mural in Manchester tribute to Palestinian journalists    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







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Brent crude oil climbs back above $100 on Egypt turmoil
North Sea Brent crude oil futures jumped back above $100 a barrel on Monday on worries unrest in Egypt could spread to other parts of the Middle East and north Africa, disrupting energy supplies
Published in Ahram Online on 07 - 02 - 2011

A senior Kuwait official said over the weekend oil prices could exceed $110 per barrel if the turmoil in Egypt continued, while Venezuela said prices could more than double to $200 if the Suez Canal closed.
Iran, which holds the rotating presidency of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, said it saw no need for an emergency OPEC meeting even if oil prices hit $120.
"There is a lot of uncertainty over Egypt. We do not know what is going to happen there and the worry is that contagion will spread, destabilizing other countries," said Christophe Barret, oil analyst at French bank Credit Agricole.
"Of course everyone is worried -- the Middle East is such a big source of energy."
Commerzbank analysts said oil prices remained "well protected on the downside" "on the back of continued protests in the Middle East."
"The unrest in Egypt has also had an impact on the behavior of speculative financial investors, who are increasingly betting on rising oil prices again amid the uncertainty about possible effects on oil supply," Commerzbank said in its daily note.
ICE Brent crude oil futures for March rose $1.07 to a high of $100.90 before slipping back to around $100.50 by 1035 GMT. On February 3, Brent reached an intra-day high of $103.37, its highest since September 2008.
INVENTORIES
U.S. crude futures were more restrained as investors looked past the political crisis in Egypt and took note of high oil inventories, particularly in the U.S. Midwest and Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for the New York Mercantile Exchange's crude futures contracts.
U.S. crude for March was up 2 cents at $89.05 a barrel by 1035 GMT.
Opposition groups including the banned Muslim Brotherhood held talks with the government on Sunday to resolve Egypt's political crisis, but said their core demand for the removal of the president had not been met.
Demonstrators in central Cairo's Tahrir Square, focal point of an uprising that has rocked the Arab world and alarmed Western powers, said they would intensify their two-week battle to oust the president who has vowed to stay on until September.
What really worries traders is that unrest in Tunisia and Egypt could fuel similar protests in bigger oil producers such as Libya -- or even Saudi Arabia, creating massive uncertainty over oil supplies.
But there is no sign of a physical shortage of oil and global stocks are high by historical standards.
Domestic U.S. crude stocks rose 2.59 million barrels to 343.16 million barrels in the week to January 28, data from EIA showed.
Egypt controls the Suez Canal and the Suez-Mediterranean (SUMED) oil pipeline, which together moved over 2 million bpd of crude and oil products in 2009.
More than 34,000 vessels passed through the canal in 2009, of which nearly 2,700 were oil tankers carrying 29 million tonnes of oil, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
Venezuela's oil minister Rafael Ramirez, who is usually hawkish on prices, said on Friday OPEC would call an emergency meeting if the canal closed.
"There is sufficient oil (in the market) and there have been no interruptions, but if they close Suez, that could take the oil price to $200," he told reporters.
OPEC members will meet consumers at an energy conference in Riyadh on February 22 and are expected to talk informally about output levels.


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