Egypt to launch EGTAP.com online platform to train tourism workforce: minister    Singapore's economy grows in Q2 '25    Gold prices dip slightly on Monday trading    Pakistan names Qatari royal as brand ambassador after 'Killer Mountain' climb    EU prepared to retaliate with €21b tariff package – Italy's FM    Al-Sisi reaffirms Egypt's commitment to African security, development at AU Mid-Year Summit    Dozens of Palestinians killed by Israeli fire near Gaza aid site    Health Ministry denies claims of meningitis-related deaths among siblings    Egypt's Contact insurance arms, Germany's GIZ partner on SMEs, gender equity    Egypt and Italy mark 50 years of science partnership, discuss future cooperation    Egypt establishes Real Estate Market Regulation Unit to oversee sector transparency    Egypt's Health Min. discusses drug localisation with Sandoz    Egypt, Mexico discuss environmental cooperation, combating desertification    Needle-spiking attacks in France prompt government warning, public fear    Foreign, housing ministers discuss Egypt's role in African development push    Egypt's EDA, Haleon discuss local market support    Korea Culture Week in Egypt to blend K-Pop with traditional arts    Egypt, France FMs review Gaza ceasefire efforts, reconstruction    CIB finances Giza Pyramids Sound and Light Show redevelopment with EGP 963m loan    Greco-Roman tombs with hieroglyphic inscriptions discovered in Aswan    Egypt reveals heritage e-training portal    Three ancient rock-cut tombs discovered in Aswan    Egypt condemns deadly terrorist attack in Niger    Sisi launches new support initiative for families of war, terrorism victims    Egypt's GAH, Spain's Konecta discuss digital health partnership    Egypt expands e-ticketing to 110 heritage sites, adds self-service kiosks at Saqqara    Egypt's Irrigation Minister urges scientific cooperation to tackle water scarcity    Palm Hills Squash Open debuts with 48 international stars, $250,000 prize pool    Egypt's Democratic Generation Party Evaluates 84 Candidates Ahead of Parliamentary Vote    On Sport to broadcast Pan Arab Golf Championship for Juniors and Ladies in Egypt    Golf Festival in Cairo to mark Arab Golf Federation's 50th anniversary    Germany among EU's priciest labour markets – official data    Cabinet approves establishment of national medical tourism council to boost healthcare sector    Egypt's PM follows up on Julius Nyerere dam project in Tanzania    Paris Olympic gold '24 medals hit record value    A minute of silence for Egyptian sports    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



Egypt lenders' foreign currency liquidity vulnerable to external shocks: Fitch
Published in Amwal Al Ghad on 16 - 07 - 2020

Egyptian banks' foreign currency liquidity is still vulnerable to fluctuations in investor appetite for emerging market debt and shortages of foreign currency receipts amid the coronavirus, according to Fitch Ratings.
In a new report, Fitch said the recent financing that Egypt has obtained from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and from its Eurobond issuance have helped to ease pressure on foreign currency liquidity in the short term.
"Yet, we believe that the strain is more severe than during the second half of 2018 regarding emerging markets sell-off and likely to be longer lasting. A sustainable improvement in foreign currency liquidity would require the return of foreign currency receipts, which are contingent on external economic factors," read the Fitch report.
Egypt tapped the capital markets in May, raising $5 billion in Eurobonds, and has secured two new IMF loans.
The actions may have helped foreign currency reserves to increase slightly to reach $38.2 billion at end of June, up from $36 billion at end of May, after they had fallen by $9.5 billion in March-May due to $17 billion capital outflows triggered by volatility in global financial markets amid the COVID-19 crisis.
Fitch also said that Egyptian banks' foreign currency liquidity is sensitive to external shocks, exchange-rate risks and investors' appetite for emerging market debt, adding that yields on 90-day T-bills remain high at about 13 percent, despite the 3 percent interest rate cut CBE introduced in March, helping to attract foreign investors.
Appetite for high-yielding emerging market debt is starting to pick up and foreign currency outflows had started to reverse by end of June, according to Fitch.
But the report warns that renewed outflows could be triggered if a sharp depreciation of the Egyptian pound occurs.
In this regard, the report said that foreign holdings of Egyptian T-bills were $7.5 billion at end of April, constituting about 20 percent of foreign currency reserves, which reflects the vulnerability of foreign currency liquidity.
The build-up of Egypt's net foreign assets (NFA) and foreign currency liquidity will remain constrained by lower receipts from Egypt's main foreign currency resources, including tourism (4 percent of GDP), Suez Canal revenue and net foreign direct investments (FDIs), according to the report.
Moreover, weaker international demand will curb merchandise exports and earnings from the Suez Canal, which were $17.0 billion and $5.8 billion, respectively, in 2019 (together, about 10 percent of GDP), according to the report.
Fitch also expected remittances from Egyptian expatriates, worth $25 billion in 2019 and largely from expats in Gulf Cooperation Council countries, to shrink, projecting Egypt's current account deficit to grow to 5.3 percent of GDP in 2020, up from 3 percent in 2019, intensifying pressure on foreign currency reserves.
The report demonstrated that Egypt's foreign currency deposits represent less than 20 percent of banking sector deposits and are largely stable, as they are predominantly retail.
The foreign currency loans-to-deposits ratio was an adequate 68 percent at the end of the first quarter of 2020, but coverage of foreign currency deposits by NFA collapsed when NFA went negative and was still close to zero at the end of May 2020, according to the report.
Fitch said that it had rated Egyptian banks at b+ based on Rating Watch Negative (RWN) in April and it will resolve the RWN once it has assessed the extent of the deterioration in the operating environment and foreign currency pressures on each bank's credit profile.


Clic here to read the story from its source.