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Karzai in a precarious position
Published in The Egyptian Gazette on 01 - 07 - 2010

KABUL -- With less than three months left until Afghanistan's new parliamentary elections, President Hamid Karzai has nominated another seven ministers for a vote of confidence from Afghanistan's parliament, leaving another six ministries to run without ministers.
Of the seven candidates presented to the Afghan parliament on June 25, five passed and two failed to receive a vote ofconfidence.
Karzai must now present another eight nominees to the parliament
before September, when parliamentary elections are slated to take place.
But the question must be asked: Is Afghanistan's President willing to do it?
It appears that for Karzai …quot; staying inpower at any price …quot; is the top priority.
Afghanistan's President is no longer popularin either Afghanistan or amongst the country's long-standing Western allies.
And today, with the dismissal of longtime Karzai ally General McChrystal,and the upcoming military operation in Kandahar, internal shifts in Karzai's government will leave even more things
unclear for the Afghan President.
Circumstances for Karzai are fragile,and with the departure of US forces expected to begin next July, he wants toend the country's war with the Taliban at any price.
To achieve this, Karzai will rely on Pakistan and will seek to make
peace with the Taliban before the US shifts its attention away from
Afghanistan.
Karzai's decision to nominate General Besmellah Mohamedi, who has held the position of Chief of Staff of the Afghan National Army since 2002, as the Minister of Interior clearly demonstrates
this.
The replacement for Mohamedi as Army Chief of Staff will certainly be a non-controversial figure that will not
provoke Pakistan or the Taliban.
This increasingly pro-Pakistan and pro-Taliban trend reached a new high onJune 12, when the Minister of Interior Atmar and Intelligence Chief Saleh both resigned.
Several Taliban fighters were released from prison, a key demand from Pakistan, as soon as the two government officials relinquished their posts.
It is clear that Karzai wants to arrive at an agreement and make peace with the Taliban, a goal observers say would not have been easy to achieve if Atmar and Saleh, who were both staunch advocates
of the US 'war on terror', had remained in power.
Afghan politicians, who advised Besmellah Mohamedi to decline Karzai's offer to become the new Interior Minister, say that removing a strong figure like Mohamedi will ensure that the crucial National Army post will be filled by someone favoured by Karzai and his
new Pakistani friends.
While Karzai appears to be close to attaining this goal, the situation for his government and the Afghan parliament is still precarious. Ordinary Afghans consider members of their country's parliament
to be useless and corrupt.
In theeyes of the public, MPs won their seats unfairly, bribing citizens to gain access to the parliament in order to make more
money or develop their influence in society.
Karzai himself hates the current Afghan parliament and considers it an obstacle to the goals of his government.
A number of MPs are widely recognisedas former warlords and war criminals.
Will Afghanistan's upcoming parliamentary elections produce the change that ordinary people are wishing for?
With MPs wealthy enough to purchase votes for themselves and their favoured candidates, Afghanistan's potential to change is uncertain.
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The writer is a correspondent of The Egyptian Gazette Online. She also contributes to the print edition of The Gazette Online.


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