Egypt, Elsewedy review progress on Ain Sokhna phosphate complex    US employment cost index 3.6% up in year to June 2025    Egypt welcomes Canada, Malta's decision to recognise Palestinian state    Pakistan says successfully concluded 'landmark trade deal' with US    Sterling set for sharpest monthly drop since 2022    Egypt, Brazil sign deal to boost pharmaceutical cooperation    Modon Holding posts AED 2.1bn net profit in H1 2025    Egypt's Electricity Ministry says new power cable for Giza area operational    Egypt's Al-Sisi, Italian defence minister discuss Gaza, security cooperation    Egypt's FM discusses Gaza, Nile dam with US senators    Aid airdrops intensify as famine deepens in Gaza amid mounting international criticism    Egypt exports first high-tech potato seeds to Uzbekistan after opening market    Health minister showcases AI's impact on healthcare at Huawei Cloud Summit    On anti-trafficking day, Egypt's PM calls fight a 'moral and humanitarian duty'    Egypt strengthens healthcare partnerships to enhance maternity, multiple sclerosis, and stroke care    Egypt keeps Gaza aid flowing, total tops 533,000 tons: minister    Indian Embassy to launch cultural festival in Assiut, film fest in Cairo    Egyptian aid convoy heads toward Gaza as humanitarian crisis deepens    Culture minister launches national plan to revive film industry, modernise cinematic assets    I won't trade my identity to please market: Douzi    Sisi sends letter to Nigerian president affirming strategic ties    Two militants killed in foiled plot to revive 'Hasm' operations: Interior ministry    Egypt, Somalia discuss closer environmental cooperation    Egypt's EHA, Huawei discuss enhanced digital health    Foreign, housing ministers discuss Egypt's role in African development push    Egypt reveals heritage e-training portal    Three ancient rock-cut tombs discovered in Aswan    Sisi launches new support initiative for families of war, terrorism victims    Egypt expands e-ticketing to 110 heritage sites, adds self-service kiosks at Saqqara    Egypt's Irrigation Minister urges scientific cooperation to tackle water scarcity    Palm Hills Squash Open debuts with 48 international stars, $250,000 prize pool    On Sport to broadcast Pan Arab Golf Championship for Juniors and Ladies in Egypt    Golf Festival in Cairo to mark Arab Golf Federation's 50th anniversary    Germany among EU's priciest labour markets – official data    Paris Olympic gold '24 medals hit record value    A minute of silence for Egyptian sports    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



As Mubarak era enters twilight, spotlight falls on son
Published in Daily News Egypt on 26 - 04 - 2006


CAIRO: Egyptian writer Ahmed Fekri is so convinced President Hosni Mubarak will step down soon that he has drafted a resignation speech for the long-time leader. I have entrusted my son, Gamal, to take the post of president of the Republic. Before you, I advise him to guard the system of the Republic, jested Fekri, writing in the opposition weekly Al-Dustour. Who will assume Egypt s vast presidential powers after Mubarak, 78 in May, is the most pressing political question in the Arab world s most populous country. But with no official word on who could replace him or when a change might happen, Egyptians are in the dark. Many believe that Gamal Mubarak, a leading light in the ruling party, is in line for the job, despite his assertions that he does not want the post his father has held since 1981. A senior official s recent comment to Reuters that Mubarak would step down if he found a successor has been widely interpreted as a sign that change at the top is on the way. Some analysts, diplomats and opposition politicians think Mubarak will step down within a year, others say he will do so within two. Hardly any expect him to see out the new six-year term he secured in a presidential election last year. The post-Mubarak era is being carefully planned and readied. The remarks are to prepare the public for the fact that the next president will be ruling sooner rather than later, said political analyst Joshua Stacher. The senior official, presidential adviser Osama El-Baz, said Mubarak would remain in power as long as he was capable of doing so. But if he finds that there is another group of people, another person, who are willing to carry the torch, I have the feeling he would welcome it, Baz said last month. Mubarak is not thinking of transferring power to Gamal, Baz said. It s not clear yet who can take over, he added. Others too say the official silence on the issue is due to indecision over a successor rather than a desire for secrecy. There may not be that much truth to reveal, one diplomat said. But for most, it is hard to see a clear alternative to Gamal, 42, a former investment banker and one of the most influential figures in the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP). Mubarak has always rejected the idea that he would bequeath power to Gamal, saying Egypt is no Syria, where Bashar Al-Assad became president after his father s death in 2000. But Gamal s meteoric rise in the NDP makes it hard for many to believe he is not being fast-tracked to the presidency. A recent NDP promotion and his engagement are the latest signs of presidential plans, they say. The bits keep clicking into place, one diplomat said. Gamal s influence in the NDP is unmatched, said Hala Mustafa, a dissenting member of the party s policy-making body, which is headed by the president s son. Under rules made last year for presidential elections, only parties meeting certain requirements can nominate a candidate. That candidate must be from the party s highest leadership body. If Mubarak were to step down, the NDP would press Gamal to be its candidate, Mustafa said. He doesn t have any rivals, said Mustafa, who is also editor of Al Ahram Democracy Review. But for that scenario to work, Mubarak would have to oversee the transition himself, analysts say. Support for Gamal might evaporate if his father were to die in office. Does he have the support of the people who really matter and who are those people? It s not clear to what extent the senior officer corps maintains a veto, one diplomat said. Since the 1952 coup which overthrew the monarchy, all Egypt s presidents have come from the military. But the constitutional amendment which last year put in place the laws for presidential elections has paved the way for a civilian successor to Mubarak, analysts say. Mubarak himself said last year the military had no role in politics. Omar Suleiman, head of intelligence with the rank of general, appears to be cut from the traditional cloth of Egyptian presidents. Regularly sent on diplomatic missions, he is often mentioned as a possible successor. But Suleiman is not a leading member of the ruling party, precluding him from candidacy for now. Whoever emerges as the NDP s candidate will not face a challenger because no opposition group meets the tough requirements for candidacy. The opposition says the requirements were designed to block any challenge to the president. Critics say presidential adviser Baz s remarks further reflect the lack of any democratic reform in Egypt. It s not the job of the president to pick another president. We need to have a functioning democracy where people have the right to pick, said Mohamed El-Sayed Said, a political analyst and member of the country s reform movement. -Reuters

Clic here to read the story from its source.