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Helping Yemen to stand again
Published in Al-Ahram Weekly on 29 - 03 - 2012

Without fixing the economic problems, the longstanding political crisis will not be solved in Yemen, warns Nasser Arrabyee
And without external, direct and immediate development support, the poor and war-torn country might remain in chaos for years and years more.
The oil-rich neighbouring Kingdom of Saudi Arabia realised this fact on Monday and supplied Yemen with the most needed thing now, which is fuel. The king sent a fuel grant enough for two months.
The grant was declared after the new President Abdu Rabu Mansour Hadi paid a very swift visit to Saudi King Abdullah Bin Abdel-Aziz on Monday. The two-hour visit, the first ever outside Yemen since Hadi was elected last month, was not only for seeking economic support but also for political reasons.
The security situation is not yet good enough to help the new President Hadi and his unity government to go forward in implementing the Saudi-sponsored and US-backed deal that is expected to end the power conflict between the former president Ali Abdullah Saleh and two powerful and influential men, who were always the wings of Saleh's 33-year rule.
The two men, one is tribal and the other is military, were mainly behind the one-year protests against their opponent Saleh.
The Saudi king is almost the only external and powerful leader who can exercise pressure on the two men: tribal leader Hamid Al-Ahmar, and the rebel general Ali Mohsen.
The three men Saleh, Al-Ahmar and Ali Mohsen, belong to the same tribe, Hashid, the country's most powerful tribal federation. Hashid was always the ruling tribe in the recent history of Yemen.
The Yemeni capital Sanaa is still divided under the forces of these two men on one side and Hadi's government forces on the other.
The rebel troops of Ali Mohsen are still in the streets around the square of protesters and Hamid Al-Ahmar's tribal militants are still deployed in the neighborhoods around Al-Ahmar compound in Al-Hasaba area north of the capital.
Although Hamid Al-Ahmar and Ali Mohsen publicly supported President Hadi in February's presidential elections as supreme commander of the armed forces, they apparently did not help him to remove security tensions and go to the next step of the transitional period, which is national dialogue.
The two powerful opponents of Saleh wanted the new president Hadi to sack the son and nephews of Saleh from the army and security before going on to the national dialogue.
The Saudi-sponsored and US-backed deal did not stipulate that the son and the nephews should leave their posts. But, the deal stipulates, after the national dialogue, the army and the security agencies should be restructured and reorganised, which means some or all the army and security commanders including the son and nephews, should be changed according to the orders of the new President Hadi.
Neither Hamid Al-Ahmar nor Ali Mohsen would dare to refuse the "advice" of the Saudi king who is concerned that any failure in the political process will be in the advantage of Al-Qaeda which is using Yemen as a launch pad to strike the kingdom.
Both men receive financial support from the king. If the Saudi king succeeded to convince Ali Mohsen and Hamid Al-Ahmar to cooperate with the new President Hadi, there will be another challenge that should be overcome before going to the national dialogue which is expected to be held during April 2012.
The war between Al-Qaeda and the government forces mainly in the southern province of Abyan will be the second largest obstacle. Hadi is from Abyan.
A committee made up of nine people, four clerics and five tribal leaders, was formed secretly this week to stop the war in Abyan and start dialogue with Al-Qaeda.
A source from the committee expected to achieve success if some of Al-Qaeda conditions were met. "They want to apply Sharia in their areas," the source said. "And we want to stop the war, so we would talk with them how to apply Sharia."
Meanwhile, the external supporters of the stalled political process in Yemen called on all parties to hold the comprehensive national dialogue conference without delay, warning of any failure.
In a statement issued by the US embassy in Sanaa, which led the international efforts to bring stability to Yemen earlier in the week, they said they would not accept any interference from any party to foil their efforts.
The external supporters, who called themselves Witnesses, called on all parties to stop political wrangles in the media and focus on implementation of the Saudi-sponsored and US-backed deal, known as the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Initiative.
The call came after the political process almost stalled due to a war of words between the parties who form the unity government over who was responsible for the crimes of 18 March, in which about 50 protesters were killed. The parties exchanged accusations.
The statement said, "witnesses of the GCC Agreement, recalling the obligations of all parties under the GCC Agreement and UNSCR 2014, and recalling that all parties are accountable for their actions, note with concern the recent deterioration in political cooperation in Yemen and the risks this poses to Phase 2 of the GCC Implementation Plan. It is not acceptable for any party to interfere in the implementation of the GCC agreement.
"We call on all parties to calm the rhetoric in the media.
"We reaffirm our unequivocal commitment to the process and our support for President Hadi and the National Unity Government.
"We call upon all the signatories of the GCC Agreement to renew their commitment to and constructive engagement in the implementation of the second Phase.
"We call upon the President to convene the National Dialogue without delay and for all the parties to participate."
The friend-donors of Yemen, from the Gulf, US, and European Union, are expected to meet on 23 May to support the development of the economy of Yemen.


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