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Islamists after the Revolution
Published in Almasry Alyoum on 28 - 05 - 2011

The Islamists or those who put the religion high in their political agenda are no better than the liberalists regarding the forthcoming parliamentary and presidential elections. They are not ready for the political game yet they bet on the inability of their rivals more than the ability of their cadres. The Moslems brotherhood that suddenly became on the ground after years of regime's tolerance curve that went up and down but mostly horizontal curve since about forty years after several deals with the regime they attack day and night. There is a big difference in policy between attacking others and planning to take the seats of others. The last option was not present and they did not put it as a strategy.
This specific cause was behind their division over four political parties with the one the group formed in a non-democratic way that angered its youth. The main stream or the conservatives who control the group are not the majority. They refused a dialogue with the youth and issued a new rule that members of the group should join the Freedom and Justice party exclusively. Moreover, they chose the leaders of the new party a step that makes democracy an empty word. The system that the group tries to have for its party and for Egypt of course if they could rule one day is to keep the guidance bureau a reference for political life, something much like the regime in Iran despite their denying as what is on the ground proves the contrary.
The other three Islamists parties that have roots in the Brotherhood group is more centrists than the group's one. Al least one founder of the three parties Dr. Abdel Monem Abu-Al-Fotoh said that he intends to go for the presidential elections. The sever response came from his group that proves that the theory that fight between the likes comes before fight between rivals. The Moslems Brotherhood division will affect them drastically during the elections as the youth may not vote for the elders who refused to talk to them and imposed leaders for the party. Some of the brotherhood may abstain from supporting any of the four parties. The cadres that bring voters to ballot boxes may find it difficult to invite voters to support one of the four parties and they will find it more difficult to discuss the difference between the four parties before explaining the difference between their streams and the liberals.
The division among brotherhood gave the Salafists a wide room to go into politics and to form their own party. The mission of the brotherhood will be more difficult to confront the Salafists in villages and shanty towns and both may go into fights that will force them expose their differences by using religious motto that threat their candidates by cancelling them from the voting lists according to the constitution.
The Islamists may be endangered by the liberals in big cities while another force that is being formed now will be their nightmare in villages. The farmers of the cooperative institutions decided to have their party and their number is about twelve millions. This will deprive the Islamists many of their traditional constituencies.
The liberals should moves from square one that they trapped themselves in and go forward as their rival is not that strong and there is a good opportunity to strike alliances with the new cooperative movement. It is clear that both the Islamists and the liberals lack the regime that gave them a space to be present but not competing for power. The Islamists used to this fact for about sixty years or more. The liberal movement is recent and since it has been formed and the liberals call for power exchange. Did they do their homework or they still bet on postponing the elections. It is unlikely that the elections will be postponed and their bet means only one fact giving the new president more power supported by the military council as there will be no majority that can constitute a balancing force.


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