Egypt, Elsewedy review progress on Ain Sokhna phosphate complex    US employment cost index 3.6% up in year to June 2025    Egypt welcomes Canada, Malta's decision to recognise Palestinian state    Pakistan says successfully concluded 'landmark trade deal' with US    Sterling set for sharpest monthly drop since 2022    Egypt, Brazil sign deal to boost pharmaceutical cooperation    Modon Holding posts AED 2.1bn net profit in H1 2025    Egypt's Electricity Ministry says new power cable for Giza area operational    Egypt's Al-Sisi, Italian defence minister discuss Gaza, security cooperation    Egypt's FM discusses Gaza, Nile dam with US senators    Aid airdrops intensify as famine deepens in Gaza amid mounting international criticism    Egypt exports first high-tech potato seeds to Uzbekistan after opening market    Health minister showcases AI's impact on healthcare at Huawei Cloud Summit    On anti-trafficking day, Egypt's PM calls fight a 'moral and humanitarian duty'    Egypt strengthens healthcare partnerships to enhance maternity, multiple sclerosis, and stroke care    Egypt keeps Gaza aid flowing, total tops 533,000 tons: minister    Indian Embassy to launch cultural festival in Assiut, film fest in Cairo    Egyptian aid convoy heads toward Gaza as humanitarian crisis deepens    Culture minister launches national plan to revive film industry, modernise cinematic assets    I won't trade my identity to please market: Douzi    Sisi sends letter to Nigerian president affirming strategic ties    Two militants killed in foiled plot to revive 'Hasm' operations: Interior ministry    Egypt, Somalia discuss closer environmental cooperation    Egypt's EHA, Huawei discuss enhanced digital health    Foreign, housing ministers discuss Egypt's role in African development push    Egypt reveals heritage e-training portal    Three ancient rock-cut tombs discovered in Aswan    Sisi launches new support initiative for families of war, terrorism victims    Egypt expands e-ticketing to 110 heritage sites, adds self-service kiosks at Saqqara    Egypt's Irrigation Minister urges scientific cooperation to tackle water scarcity    Palm Hills Squash Open debuts with 48 international stars, $250,000 prize pool    On Sport to broadcast Pan Arab Golf Championship for Juniors and Ladies in Egypt    Golf Festival in Cairo to mark Arab Golf Federation's 50th anniversary    Germany among EU's priciest labour markets – official data    Paris Olympic gold '24 medals hit record value    A minute of silence for Egyptian sports    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



Egypt central bank may hike rates, but market split
Published in Daily News Egypt on 01 - 02 - 2012

CAIRO: Egypt's central bank may raise borrowing costs further this week, economists said, offering a wide range of forecasts that reflect the tough task ratesetters face in trying to defend a weak local currency while not exacerbating an economic crisis.
In a Reuters survey, seven of 12 economists forecast that Thursday's meeting would hold overnight rates unchanged at 9.75 percent for lending and 8.25 percent for deposits. The other five predicted increases ranging from 25 to 125 basis points.
At the last monetary policy meeting on Nov. 24 the central bank — which has been eating up its foreign reserves trying to defend a local pound hit by street violence and political chaos — unexpectedly raised benchmark interest rates.
Justifying the first hike in more than two years, policymakers cited inflation risks linked to supply bottlenecks and distribution channel distortions.
Economists at the time said the bank had been forced to raise rates to ease pressure on the pound because of dwindling foreign appetite for Egyptian assets since the overthrow of the country's president last February.
Since Egypt's uprising a year ago, increased government borrowing to finance a burgeoning budget deficit has steadily pushed up interest rates on treasury bills and bonds.
The average yield on 364-day T-bills climbed to 15.87 percent this week, its highest in at least six years, from 10.44 percent in January 2011.
Monette Doss of Prime Capital predicted the central bank would increase rates at Thursday's meeting by 1.25 percentage points to reflect higher rates in the economy.
She said the central bank needed to attract liquidity to Egypt's banking sector to finance the government's expanding financing needs.
"During the last week, the government tried to raise LE 11 billion in T-bills," she said. "However, it got only LE 2.6 billion at record high rates."
But Said Hirsh of Capital Economics forecast the bank would keep rates on hold.
"First, economic activity is still weak. Second, although inflation has picked up, it is still well below previous peaks. And third, they had a good start to the year in terms of capital flows. Hence the stock market rally, and the pound has stabilized," Hirsh said.
Egypt's urban consumer price inflation quickened to 9.5 percent in the 12 months to December from 9.1 percent in November. Price growth had hit a four-year low of 7.1 percent in October.
Core consumer price inflation, which strips out subsidized goods and volatile items including fruit and vegetables, remained largely unchanged at 7.07 percent in the year to December, the central bank said.
At the November meeting, the bank raised its overnight deposit rate by 100 basis points to 9.25 percent and the overnight lending rate by 50 points to 10.25 percent.


Clic here to read the story from its source.