Egypt, Elsewedy review progress on Ain Sokhna phosphate complex    US employment cost index 3.6% up in year to June 2025    Egypt welcomes Canada, Malta's decision to recognise Palestinian state    Pakistan says successfully concluded 'landmark trade deal' with US    Sterling set for sharpest monthly drop since 2022    Egypt, Brazil sign deal to boost pharmaceutical cooperation    Modon Holding posts AED 2.1bn net profit in H1 2025    Egypt's Electricity Ministry says new power cable for Giza area operational    Egypt's Al-Sisi, Italian defence minister discuss Gaza, security cooperation    Egypt's FM discusses Gaza, Nile dam with US senators    Aid airdrops intensify as famine deepens in Gaza amid mounting international criticism    Egypt exports first high-tech potato seeds to Uzbekistan after opening market    Health minister showcases AI's impact on healthcare at Huawei Cloud Summit    On anti-trafficking day, Egypt's PM calls fight a 'moral and humanitarian duty'    Egypt strengthens healthcare partnerships to enhance maternity, multiple sclerosis, and stroke care    Egypt keeps Gaza aid flowing, total tops 533,000 tons: minister    Indian Embassy to launch cultural festival in Assiut, film fest in Cairo    Egyptian aid convoy heads toward Gaza as humanitarian crisis deepens    Culture minister launches national plan to revive film industry, modernise cinematic assets    I won't trade my identity to please market: Douzi    Sisi sends letter to Nigerian president affirming strategic ties    Two militants killed in foiled plot to revive 'Hasm' operations: Interior ministry    Egypt, Somalia discuss closer environmental cooperation    Egypt's EHA, Huawei discuss enhanced digital health    Foreign, housing ministers discuss Egypt's role in African development push    Egypt reveals heritage e-training portal    Three ancient rock-cut tombs discovered in Aswan    Sisi launches new support initiative for families of war, terrorism victims    Egypt expands e-ticketing to 110 heritage sites, adds self-service kiosks at Saqqara    Egypt's Irrigation Minister urges scientific cooperation to tackle water scarcity    Palm Hills Squash Open debuts with 48 international stars, $250,000 prize pool    On Sport to broadcast Pan Arab Golf Championship for Juniors and Ladies in Egypt    Golf Festival in Cairo to mark Arab Golf Federation's 50th anniversary    Germany among EU's priciest labour markets – official data    Paris Olympic gold '24 medals hit record value    A minute of silence for Egyptian sports    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



Egypt's urban inflation eases to lowest since December
Published in Daily News Egypt on 10 - 08 - 2011

CAIRO: Annual urban inflation in Egypt eased to 10.4 percent in July, its lowest in seven months, on the back of a slowdown in food prices which contributed to the mass protests that toppled President Hosni Mubarak earlier this year.
Urban consumer price inflation, the most closely watched indicator of prices, reached its lowest level since December 2010 and was down from 11.8 percent in June. But on a monthly basis, urban inflation stood at 1.2 percent, up from 0.4 percent in June.
"The month-on-month reading is actually quite high given a slowing growth environment, although there may be a pre-Ramadan effect in play here," said Liz Martins, economist at HSBC Middle East, adding that slow growth rates made interest rates hikes unlikely.
The Muslim holy month of Ramadan, which began on Aug. 1, triggers higher consumer spending as families gather for banquets to break their daily fast.
Food and beverage prices, which account for 44 percent of the weighting of the basket Egypt uses to measure inflation, decelerated 16.7 percent in the year to July, down from 19 percent in June.
Analysts say they expect the central bank to keep interest rates steady in August to support an economy reeling from the impact of the popular revolt and the collapse of some of the country's main sources of foreign exchange, including tourism and foreign investment.
"The decline in the annual inflation rate appears to be attributable to a high baseline effect ... The main (inflation) driver at the time (last year) had been sharp increases in the price of food against the background of rising global food prices," said Giyas Gokkent, chief economist at the National Bank of Abu Dhabi.
Uncertainty
"The same level of price pressure does not seem to exist right now, so annual inflation may well fall again in August," Gokkent added, forecasting the central bank would leave interest rates unchanged "given continuing uncertainty".
Egypt's economy fell into recession after the uprising that toppled Mubarak, and banks have been hit further by a weak financial market and an exodus of foreign investors.
Gross domestic product (GDP) tumbled in the first quarter and growth is expected to remain weak during the second half of 2011.
Real GDP contracted by 4.2 percent in the fiscal third quarter from January to March, its first year-on-year contraction since Egypt's first release of quarterly GDP data in 2001/02.
The central bank Monetary Policy Committee voted on July 21 to keep its key lending rate at 9.75 percent and the deposit rate at 8.25 percent, which it has not altered since September 2009.
Economists say political uncertainty will continue to dampen investor appetite and tourism at least until a parliamentary vote expected in November and subsequent presidential elections.


Clic here to read the story from its source.