Cairo to host 1st Egyptian–African Economic Conference to advance trade, investment, integration    Oil price hold near lows on Monday    Gold prices fall on Monday    Global stocks rise on Monday    Egypt launches Sustainable Green Industries Programme to boost competitiveness, investments    Gaza ceasefire under strain amid Israeli escalation, Hamas delegation heads to Cairo    Egypt, Qatar discuss expanding health cooperation, Gaza support    Egypt's top 10 real estate developers record EGP 1.05trn in sales during M9 2025    Egypt warns of erratic Ethiopian dam operations after sharp swings in Blue Nile flows    Health minister opens upgraded emergency units, inspects major infrastructure projects    European leaders say US 28-point Ukraine peace draft needs more work, reject any change of borders by force    India delays decision on extraditing ex-PM Hasina as Bangladesh tensions rise    Egypt concludes first D-8 health ministers' meeting with consensus on four priority areas    Egypt scraps parliamentary election results in 19 districts over violations    Egypt extends Ramses II Tokyo Exhibition as it draws 350k visitors to date    Egypt signs host agreement for Barcelona Convention COP24 in December    Al-Sisi urges probe into election events, says vote could be cancelled if necessary    Filmmakers, experts to discuss teen mental health at Cairo festival panel    Cairo International Film Festival to premiere 'Malaga Alley,' honour Khaled El Nabawy    Cairo hosts African Union's 5th Awareness Week on Post-Conflict Reconstruction on 19 Nov.    Egypt golf team reclaims Arab standing with silver; Omar Hisham Talaat congratulates team    Egypt launches National Strategy for Rare Diseases at PHDC'25    Egypt's Al-Sisi ratifies new criminal procedures law after parliament amends it    Egypt adds trachoma elimination to health success track record: WHO    Egypt, Sudan, UN convene to ramp up humanitarian aid in Sudan    Grand Egyptian Museum welcomes over 12,000 visitors on seventh day    Sisi meets Russian security chief to discuss Gaza ceasefire, trade, nuclear projects    Grand Egyptian Museum attracts 18k visitors on first public opening day    'Royalty on the Nile': Grand Ball of Monte-Carlo comes to Cairo    Egypt launches Red Sea Open to boost tourism, international profile    Omar Hisham Talaat: Media partnership with 'On Sports' key to promoting Egyptian golf tourism    Sisi expands national support fund to include diplomats who died on duty    Egypt's PM reviews efforts to remove Nile River encroachments    Egypt resolves dispute between top African sports bodies ahead of 2027 African Games    Germany among EU's priciest labour markets – official data    Paris Olympic gold '24 medals hit record value    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







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Oil prices jump but weekly losses and physical excess loom
Published in Ahram Online on 12 - 02 - 2016

Oil prices jumped on Friday on hopes of a coordinated production cut sparked by comments from the energy minister of OPEC member United Arab Emirates.
Still, analysts said such a move remained unlikely and prices for Brent and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude were on track for weekly losses of more than 7 percent and 11 percent, respectively, as oversupply weighed.
Brent gained as much as 6 percent against its previous settlement and was up 4.9 percent at $31.53 per barrel at 0938 GMT.
"The comments by the UAE oil minister are pushing prices up ...but we're still in a long-term downturn. That hasn't changed," said Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN AMRO. He said Friday's spike is "an indicator that it's not a one-way price movement anymore ...we will see a period of high volatility."
UAE Energy Minister Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazrouei said the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was willing to talk with other exporters about cutting output.
He added that cheap oil was already forcing some output reductions which would help rebalance the market.
WTI futures gained as much as 6 percent and were up 4.5 percent at $27.39 per barrel at 0938 GMT after hitting lows not seen since 2003 in the previous session.
Traders said the jump in WTI prices could have been a result of U.S. producers unwinding hedges they had locked in at higher prices in order to generate cash to service debt and costs.
Despite higher Brent and WTI, and the UAE comments, analysts said they saw little chance of OPEC and non-OPEC producers agreeing on a common policy.
"We view this as further jawboning, with the likelihood of a coordinated response on supply cuts very low," ANZ bank analysts said on Friday.
Oil prices have tumbled over 70 percent since mid-2014 as producers pump 1-2 million barrels of crude every day in excess of demand as economic growth stalls, led by China's slowdown.
Volatility has been high this year, with 10-20 percent price rises and falls common within only a few trading sessions.
"We expect recent crude volatility to persist," investment bank Jefferies said, adding that it expected oil markets to start rebalancing in the second half of the year.
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