Egypt's President assigns Madbouly to form new government    Pakistan inflation falls to 30-month low in May    S. Korea inks multi-billion-dollar loan deals with Tanzania, Ethiopia    Egypt's c. bank offers EGP 4b zero coupon t-bonds    Egypt and Tanzania discuss water cooperation    World Bank highlights procedures to improve state-owned enterprise governance in Egypt    Tax policy plays crucial role in attracting investment to Egypt: ETA chief    EU sanctions on Russian LNG not to hurt Asian market    Egypt urges Israeli withdrawal from Rafah crossing amid Gaza ceasefire talks    Parliamentary committee clashes with Egyptian Finance Minister over budget disparities    Egypt's Foreign Minister in Spain for talks on Palestinian crisis, bilateral ties    Egypt's PM pushes for 30,000 annual teacher appointments to address nationwide shortage    Sri Lanka offers concessionary loans to struggling SMEs    Indian markets set to gain as polls show landslide Modi win    Russian army advances in Kharkiv, as Western nations permit Ukraine to strike targets in Russia    Egypt includes refugees and immigrants in the health care system    Ancient Egyptians may have attempted early cancer treatment surgery    Grand Egyptian Museum opening: Madbouly reviews final preparations    Madinaty's inaugural Skydiving event boosts sports tourism appeal    Tunisia's President Saied reshuffles cabinet amidst political tension    US Embassy in Cairo brings world-famous Harlem Globetrotters to Egypt    Instagram Celebrates African Women in 'Made by Africa, Loved by the World' 2024 Campaign    US Biogen agrees to acquire HI-Bio for $1.8b    Egypt to build 58 hospitals by '25    Giza Pyramids host Egypt's leg of global 'One Run' half-marathon    Madinaty to host "Fly Over Madinaty" skydiving event    World Bank assesses Cairo's major waste management project    Egyptian consortium nears completion of Tanzania's Julius Nyerere hydropower project    Swiss freeze on Russian assets dwindles to $6.36b in '23    Egyptian public, private sectors off on Apr 25 marking Sinai Liberation    Debt swaps could unlock $100b for climate action    Financial literacy becomes extremely important – EGX official    Euro area annual inflation up to 2.9% – Eurostat    BYD، Brazil's Sigma Lithium JV likely    UNESCO celebrates World Arabic Language Day    Motaz Azaiza mural in Manchester tribute to Palestinian journalists    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







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Oil steady on China growth, Goldman note
Published in Daily News Egypt on 15 - 04 - 2011

LONDON: Oil prices steadied, with North Sea Brent crude just above $122 a barrel on Friday after data showed China's economic growth beating forecasts, despite government efforts to cool expansion and curb inflation.
Strong growth in the world's second-largest oil consumer is bullish for fuel but is also encouraging Beijing to tighten monetary policy in moves that could slow consumption.
Prices were supported by worries over supply from the Middle East and Africa as fighting in Libya continued but were tempered by a note from Goldman Sachs recommending underweight allocation to commodities on a three-to-six-month horizon.
ICE Brent crude for June was up 30 cents at $122.30 a barrel by 1325 GMT. US crude futures for May fell to $107.91 a barrel, down 20 cents.
"The pace of Chinese growth points to further monetary tightening there, which could weigh on Chinese fuel demand in the future," said Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank.
Chinese economic annual growth eased slightly in the first quarter to 9.7 percent from 9.8 percent in the previous quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics said.
Preliminary government data also showed China's implied oil demand grew by double digits for the sixth consecutive month in March but was down from February as refineries scaled back runs on maintenance and soaring crude costs.
Analysts expect China to raise reserves at banks and hike interest rates again to put a lid on consumer prices after growth eased just a touch in the first quarter, while its inflation jumped to a 32-month high.
Prices came under some pressure after the release of a research note by Goldman Sachs recommending investors go underweight commodities over a horizon of three to six months.
The note echoed a Goldman call on Monday and also helped knock down oil and copper prices, although the US bank said it was bullish over a one-year period.
"Barring further persistent increases in oil prices that damage demand, we expect demand growth to continue to outpace supply growth, leading to much lower inventories and OPEC spare capacity later next year, which would be hastened should the Libyan outage persist," Goldman said in Friday's report.
Fritsch said worries about possible supply disruptions as a result of unrest in the Middle East and North Africa were still the key factor behind the strength of oil prices.
"We still think that oil prices are strong mainly because of supply-side worries and the weaker dollar, not because of an increase in demand," Fritsch said.
"It all depends when the risk premium starts to decline. We believe the risk premium for oil is worth about $20 per barrel."
The dollar index, which tracks the dollar's performance against a basket of major currencies, rose slightly on Friday after falling to a 16-month low.
Iran's oil minister said on Friday oil prices were "not extraordinary", despite their recent surge.
"The price depends on the oil market … If you consider the price … in the past 40 years, what we have today is a logical price," Massoud Mirkazemi told a news conference.
He reiterated Iran's stance that there was no need for an emergency OPEC meeting.
Ahmad Qalebani, the head of state National Iranian Oil Company, said: "The price, which is around $120, is a good price for us."
Additional reporting Florence Tan in Singapore


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