Al-Sisi, Emir of Kuwait discuss bilateral ties, Gaza takes centre stage    Egypt facilitates ceasefire talks between Hamas, Israel    Egypt's Al-Sisi urges unity at African Development Summit    IFZA: 2k Egyptian firms join UAE market in 3 yrs    CBE receives offers worth $1.117bn for USD-denominated T-bill auction    Mexico's economy expands by 0.2% in Q1    UAE, Iran rare economic commission set to convene in Abu Dhabi    EU funds body backs capital market union plan    KOICA, Plan International mark conclusion of Humanitarian Partnership Programme in Egypt    Microsoft to invest $1.7b in Indonesia's cloud, AI infrastructure    Egyptian, Bosnian leaders vow closer ties during high-level meeting in Cairo    S. Africa regards BHP bid typical market activity    Sweilam highlights Egypt's water needs, cooperation efforts during Baghdad Conference    AstraZeneca, Ministry of Health launch early detection and treatment campaign against liver cancer    AstraZeneca injects $50m in Egypt over four years    Egypt, AstraZeneca sign liver cancer MoU    Negativity about vaccination on Twitter increases after COVID-19 vaccines become available    Environment Ministry, Haretna Foundation sign protocol for sustainable development    Swiss freeze on Russian assets dwindles to $6.36b in '23    Amir Karara reflects on 'Beit Al-Rifai' success, aspires for future collaborations    Climate change risks 70% of global workforce – ILO    Prime Minister Madbouly reviews cooperation with South Sudan    Ramses II statue head returns to Egypt after repatriation from Switzerland    Egypt retains top spot in CFA's MENA Research Challenge    Egyptian public, private sectors off on Apr 25 marking Sinai Liberation    Egypt forms supreme committee to revive historic Ahl Al-Bayt Trail    Debt swaps could unlock $100b for climate action    President Al-Sisi embarks on new term with pledge for prosperity, democratic evolution    Amal Al Ghad Magazine congratulates President Sisi on new office term    Egyptian, Japanese Judo communities celebrate new coach at Tokyo's Embassy in Cairo    Uppingham Cairo and Rafa Nadal Academy Unite to Elevate Sports Education in Egypt with the Introduction of the "Rafa Nadal Tennis Program"    Financial literacy becomes extremely important – EGX official    Euro area annual inflation up to 2.9% – Eurostat    BYD، Brazil's Sigma Lithium JV likely    UNESCO celebrates World Arabic Language Day    Motaz Azaiza mural in Manchester tribute to Palestinian journalists    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



The nuclear arms race in the Middle East
Published in Ahram Online on 02 - 06 - 2018

The recent statement of the Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman gave rise to several international concerns and reactions and raised the alarm just after the Kingdom noted that it will raise its military capabilities to equal that of its neighbours, especially Iran.
In spite of the statement being daring and candid in a way that goes in line with the crown prince's personality, neither its content nor the argument upon which it was based contain any exceptional standpoint.
Many countries, if not most of them, always maintain a security balance between themselves and their neighbours.
It is no secret that the Middle East is a region of unrest and violent disputes from North Africa in its west through Egypt to the Levant in the east and the Arab Gulf to the south. Thus, waging an arms race is a natural result of the continuous conflicts in the region, whether it was conventional armaments or weapons of mass destruction such as nuclear, chemical or biological weapons.
The military expenditure in the region has reached unprecedented levels, whether through domestic manufacturing or increasing arms sales from abroad.
Israel and Iran were the first to develop their domestic military capabilities, including nuclear technology, whether for peaceful use for both of them or for military use for Israel.
Several reports mentioned that Israel possesses more than 200 nuclear warheads and high-precision missile systems. It is the only country in the Middle East that did not join the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons as a non-nuclear country.
As for Iran, which has joined the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, there were mounting fears concerning its nuclear programme. This has driven the UN Security Council permanent members as well as Germany to reach an agreement with Iran (the JCPOA) in order to adjust the tempo and ambitions of the Iranian nuclear programme.
In spite of all this, there are justified concerns and reservations. The first is the time span of the deal and consequently its regulations which don't exceed few years. The second is related to Iran's ballistic capabilities, i.e. the means of delivering lethal weapons. The third emanates from strong reservations regarding Iran's tough regional policy through which it seeks hegemony.
On the personal level, I hope that the Middle East does not witness a nuclear arms race and I don't believe that the Saudi crown prince's statement is a formal pronouncement of the launch of a Saudi nuclear programme. However, the real message of the crown prince is that the arms race in the region has indeed reached dangerous levels, including nuclear weapons along with the high-tech and means of delivery, and that is a matter that can no longer be tolerated.
Those sensitive issues require that we should be frank. Thus, we should expect that the countries of the region raise their armaments and develop their domestic capabilities in case of not responding to their security concerns. The high-tech weapons and lethal weapons won't be an exception and within this context, acquiring nuclear weapons will be an option.
These dangerous developments can only be avoided through dealing with the nuclear capabilities in the region and the disparity between the countries' commitments regarding the possession of weapons of mass destruction. This can be done by joining the treaties on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and other weapons of mass destruction such as chemical and biological weapons, and setting regulations to the means of delivery.
As a first step towards this objective and instead of cancelling the nuclear deal with Iran, I suggest tackling the deal's shortcomings seriously and comprehensively, especially as all the Middle Eastern countries, including Iran and Israel, agreed on principle to make the region a zone free of weapons of mass destruction.
Egypt expressed its readiness to join the Chemical and Biological Weapons Convention if Israel joined the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.
Hence, I suggest that a Middle Eastern negotiating group be set up under the sponsorship of the Security Council's five permanent members in order to ensure continuity and work under the UN umbrella. This should be carried out with the participation of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) and the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organisation (CTBTO), being the most technically concerned organisations.
This can be achieved under the umbrella of one big system that gathers all the region's countries and tackles different kinds of weapons of mass destruction, or all countries joining the existing treaties and adding some inspection procedures and the topic of the means of delivery.
Please note that my preferred choice is a blend of the two suggestions. The group's function and mission will be negotiating an agreement making the Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction before the end of the Iran nuclear deal. It will pursue its work in the framework of the Security Council resolutions related to this objective and their means of delivery in the Middle East.
In order to be certain of the negotiating parties' seriousness and before the beginning of the negotiations, I demand that they submit letters in the Security Council in which they announce their commitment to achieving the aforementioned objective while the joint action plan for Iran's nuclear programme is valid.
They should also declare their commitment not to develop their own weapons of mass destruction during the ongoing negotiations. Within this context, the international organisations for banning weapons of mass destruction, the IAEA, the OPCW, and the CTBTO, can suggest some confidence-building measures and offer a better climate for negotiations and contribute to crystallising a verification system.
It is not an exaggeration to say that the Middle East is on the threshold of an extremely dangerous arms race. The region's countries and the world have only two options: either to begin serious and comprehensive negotiations ensuring the commitment of the countries of the region without exception to getting rid of the weapons of mass destruction whether nuclear, chemical or biological, or else bear the responsibility of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and the dangerous repercussions of this proliferation, as a result of the international community's inaction and its double standards.


Clic here to read the story from its source.